Monday, February 11, 2008

The Gorilla of all Startups

So I have been sparingly involved in a new venture at work. They are trying to build a new, better telco, from the ground up. I don't know what the budget is, but it probably has 9 zeros in it.

The question I ask myself is:
Did Sam Morgan have that when he started Trademe? What abut Sergei brin/Larry Page? I doubt it. Why then, can they do it, yet large established organisations can't?

It didn't take me long to work this out. Large organisations lose the ability to do iterative, rapid prototyping in their production environments. How many google web sites have "beta" in the title?

When a company gets big enough, or maybe when management become intoxicated by process, they begin to demand that every project goes in perfect, first time... and then DON'T TOUCH IT AGAIN FOR ANOTHER FIVE YEARS! not even for upgrades.

My catchphrase at work is "always time to do it twice, but never time to do it right". Well, I think it might only apply to projects of a certain size. After that it becomes a case "never do it more than once. no matter what!"

Stay tuned. The next episode, I work out how break out of the death spiral that teaches companies how to make a small fortune... out of a big one.

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Our Tax System Explained

I didn't write this below. I .. umm.. found it. I completely agree with it though.

Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7.
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

So, that's what they decided to do.

The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. 'Since you are all such good customers,' he said, 'I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20.' Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free.

But what about the other six men - the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.

And so:
The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).
The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).
The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings.

'I only got a dollar out of the $20,'declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man,' but he got $10!'

'Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. 'I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I got'

'That's true!!' shouted the seventh man. 'Why should he get $10 back when I got
only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!'

'Wait a minute,' yelled the first four men in unison. 'We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!'

The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, ladies and gentlemen, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

For those who understand, no explanation is needed.
For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

OpenID theory and Practice

So, now I have an openid, I have told my provider all about myself.
When I login to other sites, even for the first time (without having registered) I would expect the information provided to my OpenID provider to automatically be form-filled (at the very least)

PeopleAggregator
doesn't do this (it isn't alone). I login and it asks me for my email, first name etc.
This shows me that what the theorists/visionaries saw as a future for URL identity and how it is actually being implemented is a long way apart.

If I have to tell my openid provider all about myself, and then have to do it all over again for each new site I got to, I can comfortable predict that OpenID will fail in its goals

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Networking fatigue

I connected to Signon.com and in order to play around with OpenID and the Bandit Identity Card Selector.
It works great on linux, and.. , well... , not at all on windows.
In order to test the functionality, I have signed up with various OpenID enabled sites like:
Ziki
Plaxo

All these networking sites are starting to feel and look the same. How many different ways am I going to connect to people? Linkedin, Facebook, Plaxo?

Thursday, January 10, 2008

My great Idea just burned....

I had an idea regarding starting a new technology business. It involves mobile data and retail point of sale.
According to Rod Drury anything involving these two will most likely fail. I'm gutted. I will have to consider my business model more carefully before lifting a finger.

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Ed's computing and Business Process

A new project (lets call it project "slurpy") has been kicked off to our fix terribly broken business processes involving starting new projects. We currently have to go through a discovery phase, then a design, then a build then an implementation. Each phase is a discrete project. This is great if you are rolling out a new cellular phone network, but a little onerous if you want add a photo to the internal address book.

Despite this enormous administrative overhead, projects often get through "design" without a single requirement written down.

9 out of 10 failed projects fail because of poor requirements. I hope the first paragraph of recommendations from project Slurpy is "DEFINE YOUR REQUIREMENTS!"

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Why Rob a Bank?

Because that is where the money is.

95% of all identity fraud is perpetrated against corporates. Chances your identity is safe as long as you don't pass it on to anyone. It is only in danger once you tell the bank.

By far the majority of all costs incurred as a result of identity fraud is born by commercial institutions.

Catch 22.

If you take control of you own identity using the growing ecosystem of identity federation technologies, are you also prepared to bare the cost when you give it to the wrong person? When you hand your credit card over to the waitress and she walks off with it while you stare at her arse, does anyone consider she might be off to double swipe your card? Nope.

Are Bandit, Cardspace, OpenID and the like drive by what consumers want, or by very smart technicians trying to find a home for an idea?